Derek MacKenzie vs Justin Hodgman
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hodgman holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Hodgman 51.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgman 64.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 76.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Last 6: MacKenzie 3-3 Hodgman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgman
0
1
MacKenzie
Hodgman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Hodgman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Hodgman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
52.3% (44)
+2.6%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
100.0% (2)
-44.1%
On power play, Hodgman has a +44.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgman shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Hodgman is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Home
54.0% (2,527)
59.1% (22)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
50.0% (24)
By Period
MacKenzie
Hodgman
P1
51.9%
80.0%
P2
53.0%
33.3%
P3
54.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Hodgman
54.3%▬
54.3%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |