Derek MacKenzie vs Justin Hodgman
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Justin Hodgman holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hodgman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Hodgman 51.4% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hodgman 63.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 69.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 54.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Last 6: MacKenzie 3-3 Hodgman
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hodgman
0
1
MacKenzie
Hodgman
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Hodgman
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Hodgman
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
52.3% (44)
+2.8%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
100.0% (2)
-63.2%
On power play, Hodgman has a +63.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hodgman shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (360).
MacKenzie shoots left. Hodgman is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (36).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Hodgman
Home
54.9% (506)
59.1% (22)
Away
51.4% (516)
50.0% (24)
By Period
MacKenzie
Hodgman
P1
54.5%
80.0%
P2
55.6%
33.3%
P3
48.2%
53.8%
Final 5 min
53.0%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Hodgman
54.3%▬
54.3%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2014 | 3 | 16:13 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 2 | 15:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2014 | 1 | 06:19 | Neutral | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 3 | 04:56 | Defensive | Justin Hodgman |
| Oct 25, 2014 | 2 | 15:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |