Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Brodziak 49.0% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 84.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 51.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 76.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
50.2% (809)
+1.6%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
49.5% (93)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
42.8% (173)
+9.7%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. MacKenzie is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (150).
MacKenzie shoots left. Brodziak is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (847).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Home
51.7% (232)
48.8% (568)
Away
52.3% (241)
49.0% (520)
By Period
MacKenzie
Brodziak
P1
47.9%
46.4%
P2
51.8%
46.1%
P3
55.4%
53.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.5%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2011 | 1 | 05:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 04:17 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |