Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Brodziak on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 66.9%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 73.4%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 67.6%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 70.9%
29.1%
70.9%
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Last 7: MacKenzie 2-5 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
3
MacKenzie
Brodziak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brodziak
1
2
MacKenzie
Brodziak
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
51.4% (461)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
28.6% (7)
+23.8%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
40.9% (88)
+12.0%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +23.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Brodziak is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Brodziak
Home
54.4% (463)
45.8% (277)
Away
55.3% (338)
53.0% (279)
By Period
MacKenzie
Brodziak
P1
54.2%
50.0%
P2
54.0%
48.8%
P3
56.7%
49.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 3 | 07:00 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 08:11 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 12, 2016 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 19:18 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 2 | 12:18 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 1, 2015 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |