Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Turris 50.3% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 26-23 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 69.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 78.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 52.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
MacKenzie
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
26
-
23
(49 meetings)
26
23
MacKenzie
Turris
Last 10: MacKenzie 5-5 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
13
MacKenzie
Turris
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
15
4
MacKenzie
Turris
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
10
6
MacKenzie
Turris
16 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
50.2% (7,653)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
52.4% (1,312)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
48.6% (580)
-1.9%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Turris is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (6,446).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Turris
Home
54.0% (2,527)
53.5% (4,794)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
47.1% (4,756)
By Period
MacKenzie
Turris
P1
51.9%
51.5%
P2
53.0%
50.8%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
65.7%
56.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 13:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 20, 2018 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:03 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Jan 31, 2017 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 3 | 01:37 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 09:13 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2016 | 1 | 18:05 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 12:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 1 | 19:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |