Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Turris on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Turris 50.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Turris leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 78.7%
Defensive zone
Turris 54.9%
Neutral zone
Turris 61.5%
Result
Kyle Turris favored at 66.0%
34.0%
66.0%
MacKenzie
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
MacKenzie
Turris
Last 10: MacKenzie 3-7 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
4
MacKenzie
Turris
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Turris
1
2
MacKenzie
Turris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Turris
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
49.4% (1,154)
+5.7%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
57.6% (217)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
41.6% (101)
+7.3%
On power play, Turris has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (360).
MacKenzie shoots left. Turris is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Turris
Home
54.9% (506)
54.7% (760)
Away
51.4% (516)
45.1% (712)
By Period
MacKenzie
Turris
P1
54.5%
54.1%
P2
55.6%
50.2%
P3
48.2%
45.2%
OT
70.0%
61.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2015 | 2 | 19:48 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 11:59 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Mar 29, 2015 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:56 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Feb 21, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 3 | 01:54 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 19:28 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Nov 28, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 13, 2014 | 2 | 11:46 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |