Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Turris shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Turris 51.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 12-6 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Turris 60.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 89.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 65.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 74.3%
74.3%
25.7%
MacKenzie
Turris
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
6
(18 meetings)
12
6
MacKenzie
Turris
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Turris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Turris
0
3
MacKenzie
Turris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
9
1
MacKenzie
Turris
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
2
MacKenzie
Turris
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Turris
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
50.9% (801)
+4.9%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
54.4% (204)
-2.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
43.6% (39)
+9.3%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Turris shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Turris is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (721).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Turris
Home
54.4% (463)
55.6% (482)
Away
55.3% (338)
47.7% (562)
By Period
MacKenzie
Turris
P1
54.2%
49.1%
P2
54.0%
51.6%
P3
56.7%
53.4%
OT
33.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Turris
56.0%▲
49.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 17:41 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 7, 2016 | 1 | 19:16 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 15:25 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:43 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 13:06 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 22, 2015 | 2 | 12:08 | Defensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 14:23 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:44 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 03:23 | Neutral | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 19:21 | Offensive | Kyle Turris |
| Dec 8, 2015 | 1 | 14:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |