Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Eller 50.5% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 11-11 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Eller 50.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 51.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
MacKenzie
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
11
(22 meetings)
11
11
MacKenzie
Eller
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
4
7
MacKenzie
Eller
11 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
MacKenzie
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
1
MacKenzie
Eller
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
51.1% (10,296)
+3.8%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
52.8% (621)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
46.7% (1,751)
+0.0%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +3.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,123).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Eller
Home
54.0% (2,527)
51.4% (6,118)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
49.7% (6,578)
By Period
MacKenzie
Eller
P1
51.9%
51.2%
P2
53.0%
50.1%
P3
54.0%
50.2%
OT
65.7%
56.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 09:14 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:11 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 01:26 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 1 | 02:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 16:55 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 5, 2015 | 1 | 05:22 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 3 | 18:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 28, 2015 | 1 | 05:06 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 17:49 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 06:52 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 18:35 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 15:51 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 12:52 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 09:58 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:15 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 15, 2013 | 2 | 17:16 | Offensive | Lars Eller |