Scouting Report
Marcus Kruger holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kruger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.3% vs Kruger 55.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 53.8%
Defensive zone
Kruger 77.6%
Neutral zone
Kruger 77.2%
Result
Marcus Kruger favored at 72.1%
27.9%
72.1%
MacKenzie
Kruger
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKenzie
Kruger
Last 6: MacKenzie 4-2 Kruger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Kruger
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Kruger
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Kruger
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kruger
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (377)
57.8% (597)
-2.9%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
66.7% (12)
-3.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (109)
51.8% (164)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Kruger has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kruger shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kruger is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kruger
Home
51.9% (237)
58.6% (408)
Away
51.2% (260)
54.5% (365)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kruger
P1
49.7%
54.3%
P2
50.6%
56.9%
P3
53.5%
58.3%
OT
100.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
59.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
51.5%
Kruger
50.0%▬
51.0%
56.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 3 | 08:32 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 07:13 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 01:13 | Neutral | Marcus Kruger |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |