Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Letestu shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Letestu 51.2% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 63.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 62.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 56.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
MacKenzie
Letestu
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Letestu
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Letestu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Letestu
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Letestu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Letestu
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
52.5% (755)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
53.3% (167)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
46.3% (240)
+6.6%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Letestu shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Letestu is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (808).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Letestu
Home
54.4% (463)
54.9% (554)
Away
55.3% (338)
48.0% (608)
By Period
MacKenzie
Letestu
P1
54.2%
50.7%
P2
54.0%
54.6%
P3
56.7%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
54.5%
Final 5 min
52.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Letestu
58.0%▲
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2016 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 13:35 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 18, 2016 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 10, 2016 | 2 | 17:17 | Offensive | Mark Letestu |