Scouting Report
Martin Hanzal holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hanzal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Hanzal 56.0% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hanzal 89.9%
Defensive zone
Hanzal 58.6%
Neutral zone
Hanzal 84.4%
Result
Martin Hanzal favored at 81.5%
18.5%
81.5%
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Last 7: MacKenzie 5-2 Hanzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hanzal
0
1
MacKenzie
Hanzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Hanzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
1
MacKenzie
Hanzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
57.1% (1,059)
-4.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
60.0% (175)
+17.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
45.2% (126)
-3.5%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hanzal shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Hanzal is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (897).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Hanzal
Home
52.7% (404)
57.6% (682)
Away
47.0% (368)
55.2% (678)
By Period
MacKenzie
Hanzal
P1
50.0%
57.8%
P2
50.0%
57.8%
P3
49.4%
53.7%
OT
80.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Hanzal
58.0%▬
57.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 18:50 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 15:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 11:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 05:53 | Offensive | Martin Hanzal |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 23, 2017 | 1 | 18:26 | Neutral | Martin Hanzal |