Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Duchene 54.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 53.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 73.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 66.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
MacKenzie
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKenzie
Duchene
Last 6: MacKenzie 4-2 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Duchene
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
56.8% (706)
+4.2%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
56.1% (57)
+43.9%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
42.3% (130)
+6.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Duchene is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Duchene
Home
62.1% (145)
56.6% (488)
Away
57.3% (178)
52.3% (405)
By Period
MacKenzie
Duchene
P1
51.6%
52.0%
P2
59.8%
53.7%
P3
65.8%
58.5%
OT
50.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
54.8%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:37 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 08:42 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 2 | 19:25 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 04:24 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 3 | 05:58 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2013 | 1 | 07:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |