Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Stajan 49.4% (+3.7%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 18-11 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 76.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 69.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 73.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 72.5%
72.5%
27.5%
MacKenzie
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
11
(29 meetings)
18
11
MacKenzie
Stajan
Last 10: MacKenzie 5-5 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
2
MacKenzie
Stajan
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
7
5
MacKenzie
Stajan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
6
4
MacKenzie
Stajan
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
50.2% (4,944)
+4.7%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
43.2% (176)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
46.1% (864)
+0.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Stajan is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,964).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Stajan
Home
54.0% (2,527)
51.3% (3,098)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
47.3% (2,892)
By Period
MacKenzie
Stajan
P1
51.9%
50.3%
P2
53.0%
48.5%
P3
54.0%
49.4%
OT
65.7%
53.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 19:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 15:10 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 24, 2017 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 13, 2016 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:33 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 01:55 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 20, 2013 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 2 | 03:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 3 | 08:33 | Neutral | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 2 | 12:04 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 7, 2013 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |