Scouting Report
Micheal Haley holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Haley on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Haley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Haley 51.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haley 74.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 68.2%
Neutral zone
Haley 55.9%
Result
Micheal Haley favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
MacKenzie
Haley
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKenzie
Haley
Last 5: MacKenzie 2-3 Haley
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Haley
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haley
1
3
MacKenzie
Haley
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Haley
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
57.9% (19)
-2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haley shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
MacKenzie shoots left. Haley is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Haley
Home
54.4% (463)
56.3% (16)
Away
55.3% (338)
66.7% (3)
By Period
MacKenzie
Haley
P1
54.2%
71.4%
P2
54.0%
66.7%
P3
56.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.6%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Haley
46.0%▬
47.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 18:54 | Neutral | Micheal Haley |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 06:43 | Neutral | Micheal Haley |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2015 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Micheal Haley |