Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Fisher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Fisher 53.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Fisher 65.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 59.0%
Neutral zone
Fisher 60.7%
Result
Mike Fisher favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
MacKenzie
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKenzie
Fisher
Last 7: MacKenzie 2-5 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
2
MacKenzie
Fisher
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fisher
2
3
MacKenzie
Fisher
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
55.2% (948)
+0.6%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
49.7% (173)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
45.7% (129)
+7.2%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Fisher is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Fisher
Home
54.4% (463)
53.1% (591)
Away
55.3% (338)
53.7% (659)
By Period
MacKenzie
Fisher
P1
54.2%
54.3%
P2
54.0%
54.5%
P3
56.7%
51.6%
OT
33.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
52.6%
48.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 17:39 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 13:48 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 03:59 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Mike Fisher |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 06:18 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 02:54 | Offensive | Mike Fisher |