Scouting Report
Mike Fisher holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Fisher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Fisher 55.3% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 63.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 66.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 69.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 66.3%
66.3%
33.7%
MacKenzie
Fisher
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKenzie
Fisher
Last 6: MacKenzie 2-4 Fisher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Fisher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fisher
0
4
MacKenzie
Fisher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Fisher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Fisher
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
58.2% (158)
-2.5%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
100.0% (1)
-20.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
56.0% (25)
-14.6%
On power play, Fisher has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fisher shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. Fisher is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Fisher
Home
51.3% (312)
52.8% (89)
Away
52.9% (293)
63.2% (95)
By Period
MacKenzie
Fisher
P1
50.5%
44.3%
P2
48.8%
64.2%
P3
57.4%
65.5%
Final 5 min
54.2%
68.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Fisher
60.0%▲
58.0%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 09:20 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 10:04 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |
| Apr 3, 2018 | 1 | 03:10 | Defensive | Mike Fisher |