Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Ribeiro shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Ribeiro 39.3% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 59.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 97.2%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 93.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
Last 8: MacKenzie 6-2 Ribeiro
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ribeiro
0
1
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
37.8% (650)
+18.0%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
38.9% (108)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
0.0% (2)
+52.9%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +52.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ribeiro shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
MacKenzie shoots left. Ribeiro is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (483).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
Home
54.4% (463)
37.9% (417)
Away
55.3% (338)
37.9% (343)
By Period
MacKenzie
Ribeiro
P1
54.2%
38.3%
P2
54.0%
38.8%
P3
56.7%
36.4%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.6%
33.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Ribeiro
34.0%▼
36.0%
37.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 1 | 10:12 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 07:42 | Offensive | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 3 | 04:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 11:24 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:40 | Neutral | Mike Ribeiro |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 09:50 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 3, 2015 | 1 | 05:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |