Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (79% H2H, 19 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Koivu 54.0% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 28-22 in 50 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 58.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 74.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 56.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
MacKenzie
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
28
(50 meetings)
22
28
MacKenzie
Koivu
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
15
MacKenzie
Koivu
19 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
14
5
MacKenzie
Koivu
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
4
8
MacKenzie
Koivu
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
54.0% (9,465)
+0.9%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
58.6% (2,100)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
48.9% (1,688)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Koivu
Home
54.0% (2,527)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
MacKenzie
Koivu
P1
51.9%
53.5%
P2
53.0%
54.6%
P3
54.0%
54.0%
OT
65.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2018 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 22, 2017 | 1 | 12:02 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 3 | 14:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 10, 2017 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 18:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 16:05 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 15:02 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 08:52 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 3 | 05:47 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:12 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 17:00 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 3, 2016 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |