Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.8%). Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Koivu 52.6% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Koivu 52.6%
Defensive zone
Koivu 54.1%
Neutral zone
Koivu 51.5%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
MacKenzie
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
6
(6 meetings)
0
6
MacKenzie
Koivu
Last 6: MacKenzie 0-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
MacKenzie
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
2
MacKenzie
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
1
MacKenzie
Koivu
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
51.7% (842)
+0.1%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
55.2% (248)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
55.6% (178)
-3.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
MacKenzie shoots left. Koivu is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (944).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Koivu
Home
51.7% (232)
54.1% (621)
Away
52.3% (241)
51.6% (672)
By Period
MacKenzie
Koivu
P1
47.9%
52.0%
P2
51.8%
55.5%
P3
55.4%
51.2%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2011 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 04:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 18:25 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 2 | 11:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 13:56 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |