Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Koivu 53.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 88.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 55.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 72.1%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 75.2%
24.8%
75.2%
MacKenzie
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
MacKenzie
Koivu
Last 10: MacKenzie 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
5
MacKenzie
Koivu
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Koivu
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
53.6% (739)
+7.4%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
56.2% (137)
+43.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
53.7% (95)
-4.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +43.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Koivu is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Koivu
Home
62.1% (145)
56.0% (495)
Away
57.3% (178)
51.9% (476)
By Period
MacKenzie
Koivu
P1
51.6%
54.9%
P2
59.8%
53.5%
P3
65.8%
53.6%
OT
50.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | OT | 02:51 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 13:17 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 15:06 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 03:53 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 19:16 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 14:17 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 08:59 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Apr 7, 2013 | 2 | 18:39 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |