Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Koivu 54.9% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 80.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 66.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 59.4%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
MacKenzie
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
MacKenzie
Koivu
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Koivu
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
1
MacKenzie
Koivu
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
MacKenzie
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
55.3% (1,268)
-0.2%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
57.6% (321)
-20.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
51.0% (202)
-2.1%
On power play, Koivu has a +20.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Koivu is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Koivu
Home
54.9% (506)
58.3% (906)
Away
51.4% (516)
52.1% (885)
By Period
MacKenzie
Koivu
P1
54.5%
53.0%
P2
55.6%
55.6%
P3
48.2%
56.6%
OT
70.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2015 | 2 | 05:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 12, 2015 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 08:49 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 08:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:54 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 01:56 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |