Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.7%). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Thompson 52.5% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 54.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 52.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
MacKenzie
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKenzie
Thompson
Last 7: MacKenzie 2-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Thompson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
MacKenzie
Thompson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
MacKenzie
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
54.4% (870)
+0.7%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
45.8% (24)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
45.1% (162)
+3.8%
On power play, Thompson has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Thompson is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (666).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Thompson
Home
54.9% (506)
55.3% (510)
Away
51.4% (516)
50.4% (546)
By Period
MacKenzie
Thompson
P1
54.5%
53.5%
P2
55.6%
52.2%
P3
48.2%
52.7%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2015 | 3 | 13:52 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:36 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 3 | 17:14 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 08:39 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 02:05 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 1 | 01:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |