Derek MacKenzie vs Nathan MacKinnon
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.6%). MacKenzie wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs MacKinnon 50.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 69.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 67.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 51.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Last 5: MacKenzie 1-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
2
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
0
1
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
49.3% (1,167)
+3.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
61.0% (187)
+16.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
47.9% (167)
-6.2%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (305).
MacKenzie shoots left. MacKinnon is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
Home
52.7% (404)
57.7% (728)
Away
47.0% (368)
44.0% (793)
By Period
MacKenzie
MacKinnon
P1
50.0%
50.1%
P2
50.0%
52.5%
P3
49.4%
49.3%
OT
80.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2016 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 16, 2016 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 22, 2016 | 1 | 14:46 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |