Derek MacKenzie vs Nick Bjugstad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Bjugstad 48.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 53.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 76.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 62.8%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 60.1%
60.1%
39.9%
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
Last 5: MacKenzie 3-2 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
1
2
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
48.6% (6,634)
+6.3%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
55.2% (829)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
44.3% (614)
+2.4%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,747).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
Home
54.0% (2,527)
49.8% (4,020)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
48.1% (4,057)
By Period
MacKenzie
Bjugstad
P1
51.9%
49.0%
P2
53.0%
49.1%
P3
54.0%
48.4%
OT
65.7%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Bjugstad
40.0%▼
48.0%
48.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 12, 2014 | 2 | 10:14 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 13:10 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 03:04 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |