Derek MacKenzie vs Nicklas Backstrom
2014-15 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.6%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Backstrom 53.4% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 72.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 71.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 51.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 55.0%
55.0%
45.0%
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Last 9: MacKenzie 6-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
MacKenzie
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
0
MacKenzie
Backstrom
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
54.1% (1,314)
+1.0%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
56.2% (169)
-19.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
44.4% (126)
+4.5%
On power play, Backstrom has a +19.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Backstrom is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Home
54.9% (506)
57.7% (799)
Away
51.4% (516)
49.5% (810)
By Period
MacKenzie
Backstrom
P1
54.5%
54.7%
P2
55.6%
51.7%
P3
48.2%
54.2%
OT
70.0%
58.1%
Final 5 min
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2015 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 16:01 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 4, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 16, 2014 | 2 | 04:25 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 17:12 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 18, 2014 | 1 | 13:29 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |