Derek MacKenzie vs Nicklas Backstrom
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 78.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 77.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 53.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Last 6: MacKenzie 4-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
MacKenzie
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
52.5% (1,108)
+0.0%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
52.4% (164)
+25.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
27.9% (61)
+13.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +25.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Backstrom is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Backstrom
Home
52.7% (404)
52.5% (642)
Away
47.0% (368)
50.4% (691)
By Period
MacKenzie
Backstrom
P1
50.0%
50.2%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
49.4%
53.0%
OT
80.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2017 | 3 | 09:47 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2017 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 07:33 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |