Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Acciari 47.7% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 63.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 86.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 74.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 74.2%
74.2%
25.8%
MacKenzie
Acciari
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
MacKenzie
Acciari
Last 6: MacKenzie 4-2 Acciari
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Acciari
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
0
1
MacKenzie
Acciari
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Acciari
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Acciari
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
48.1% (77)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
31.3% (16)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Acciari shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. Acciari is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (71).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Acciari
Home
51.3% (312)
42.1% (57)
Away
52.9% (293)
50.0% (36)
By Period
MacKenzie
Acciari
P1
50.5%
36.4%
P2
48.8%
46.9%
P3
57.4%
48.7%
Final 5 min
54.2%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2018 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:29 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 11:26 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 08:23 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |