Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Holland 48.0% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 59.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 68.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 62.5%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 61.8%
61.8%
38.2%
MacKenzie
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
MacKenzie
Holland
Last 7: MacKenzie 4-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
2
3
MacKenzie
Holland
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
49.0% (196)
+6.7%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
50.0% (4)
+30.0%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
33.3% (27)
+8.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
MacKenzie shoots left. Holland is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Holland
Home
51.3% (312)
52.1% (94)
Away
52.9% (293)
43.6% (133)
By Period
MacKenzie
Holland
P1
50.5%
47.6%
P2
48.8%
48.6%
P3
57.4%
45.1%
Final 5 min
54.2%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2018 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 16:20 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 13:11 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:32 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 10, 2018 | 1 | 06:44 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |