Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Regin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Regin 44.3% (+9.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Regin 74.1%
Defensive zone
Regin 51.9%
Neutral zone
Regin 66.3%
Result
Peter Regin favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
MacKenzie
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
MacKenzie
Regin
Last 8: MacKenzie 3-5 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Regin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Regin
0
1
MacKenzie
Regin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
1
3
MacKenzie
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
45.8% (836)
+9.1%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
39.2% (74)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
24.7% (73)
+22.0%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Regin is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Regin
Home
54.0% (2,527)
42.6% (533)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
45.1% (450)
By Period
MacKenzie
Regin
P1
51.9%
46.7%
P2
53.0%
43.9%
P3
54.0%
40.8%
OT
65.7%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |