Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Regin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Regin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.3% vs Regin 45.6% (+7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Regin 65.9%
Defensive zone
Regin 53.5%
Neutral zone
Regin 64.6%
Result
Peter Regin favored at 63.7%
36.3%
63.7%
MacKenzie
Regin
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
MacKenzie
Regin
Last 8: MacKenzie 3-5 Regin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Regin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Regin
0
1
MacKenzie
Regin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Regin
1
3
MacKenzie
Regin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Regin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (377)
46.0% (352)
+8.9%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
45.5% (22)
+18.1%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (109)
18.2% (22)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Regin shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (282).
MacKenzie shoots left. Regin is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (256).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Regin
Home
51.9% (237)
43.0% (207)
Away
51.2% (260)
46.0% (189)
By Period
MacKenzie
Regin
P1
49.7%
48.7%
P2
50.6%
41.7%
P3
53.5%
43.5%
Final 5 min
49.1%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
51.5%
Regin
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2014 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Peter Regin |
| Apr 4, 2014 | 1 | 17:10 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 16:44 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 6, 2014 | 1 | 04:12 | Neutral | Peter Regin |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Peter Regin |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 15:12 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |