Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Nash on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Nash 48.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Nash leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Nash 61.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 62.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 53.5%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
MacKenzie
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
MacKenzie
Nash
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nash
1
5
MacKenzie
Nash
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
0
MacKenzie
Nash
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
MacKenzie
Nash
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
48.7% (4,621)
+6.2%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
51.0% (249)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
44.9% (550)
+1.8%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Nash
Home
54.0% (2,527)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
MacKenzie
Nash
P1
51.9%
49.0%
P2
53.0%
47.9%
P3
54.0%
48.0%
OT
65.7%
68.4%
Final 5 min
52.9%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:27 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 1, 2017 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 2 | 11:55 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Nov 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 9, 2016 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 26, 2014 | 1 | 10:52 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 3 | 02:41 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 29, 2014 | 1 | 05:11 | Neutral | Riley Nash |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Jan 27, 2014 | 2 | 02:36 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 23, 2013 | 2 | 15:39 | Neutral | Riley Nash |