Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 50.6%). Look for Sheahan on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Sheahan 50.5% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sheahan 67.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 72.2%
Neutral zone
Sheahan 53.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
MacKenzie
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
MacKenzie
Sheahan
Last 5: MacKenzie 1-4 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Sheahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sheahan
0
3
MacKenzie
Sheahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
50.8% (419)
+1.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
52.2% (23)
+25.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
45.8% (24)
-4.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +25.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Sheahan is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Sheahan
Home
52.7% (404)
53.4% (232)
Away
47.0% (368)
47.9% (234)
By Period
MacKenzie
Sheahan
P1
50.0%
49.0%
P2
50.0%
47.4%
P3
49.4%
56.0%
OT
80.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2016 | 3 | 01:36 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 01:47 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 04:18 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Oct 30, 2016 | 2 | 01:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |