Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Kesler 55.9% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 22-8 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Kesler 85.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 57.1%
Neutral zone
Kesler 73.6%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
MacKenzie
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
22
-
8
(30 meetings)
22
8
MacKenzie
Kesler
Last 10: MacKenzie 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
5
MacKenzie
Kesler
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
14
2
MacKenzie
Kesler
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
1
MacKenzie
Kesler
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
56.4% (8,095)
-1.5%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
60.7% (1,437)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kesler
Home
54.0% (2,527)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kesler
P1
51.9%
56.5%
P2
53.0%
55.9%
P3
54.0%
56.1%
OT
65.7%
46.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2017 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 3 | 05:37 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 3, 2017 | 1 | 09:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 08:05 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 19, 2015 | 2 | 01:44 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 4, 2015 | 1 | 09:05 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 2 | 05:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 16:46 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 10, 2015 | 1 | 09:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Nov 16, 2014 | 2 | 11:18 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2013 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2011 | OT | 02:30 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 08:04 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |