Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Spooner shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Spooner 46.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 75.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 83.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 51.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 57.8%
57.8%
42.2%
MacKenzie
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
MacKenzie
Spooner
Last 6: MacKenzie 3-3 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Spooner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
2
MacKenzie
Spooner
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
44.8% (212)
+10.3%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
66.7% (6)
-29.9%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
50.0% (2)
-1.1%
On power play, Spooner has a +29.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Spooner is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Spooner
Home
54.9% (506)
45.8% (107)
Away
51.4% (516)
45.1% (113)
By Period
MacKenzie
Spooner
P1
54.5%
50.0%
P2
55.6%
41.7%
P3
48.2%
44.8%
OT
70.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
53.0%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 13:57 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 02:16 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:49 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |