Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for White on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — White shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs White 51.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
White 76.9%
Defensive zone
White 59.2%
Neutral zone
White 71.4%
Result
Ryan White favored at 71.2%
28.8%
71.2%
MacKenzie
White
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
MacKenzie
White
Last 6: MacKenzie 1-5 White
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: White
0
2
MacKenzie
White
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
White
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: White
0
3
MacKenzie
White
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
White
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
52.4% (288)
+3.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
68.4% (19)
-16.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
45.5% (44)
+7.4%
On power play, White has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
White shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. White is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (267).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
White
Home
54.4% (463)
53.3% (165)
Away
55.3% (338)
51.6% (186)
By Period
MacKenzie
White
P1
54.2%
58.1%
P2
54.0%
49.1%
P3
56.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
White
48.0%▲
46.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 13:15 | Neutral | Ryan White |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 10:37 | Offensive | Ryan White |
| Mar 12, 2016 | 1 | 02:42 | Neutral | Ryan White |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:57 | Offensive | Ryan White |
| Oct 10, 2015 | 2 | 03:18 | Neutral | Ryan White |