Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Gomez 48.2% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 10-6 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Gomez 53.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 90.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 80.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 72.1%
72.1%
27.9%
MacKenzie
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
6
(16 meetings)
10
6
MacKenzie
Gomez
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
2
MacKenzie
Gomez
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
2
MacKenzie
Gomez
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
1
2
MacKenzie
Gomez
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
47.9% (2,814)
+7.0%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
50.6% (516)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
36.5% (74)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Gomez is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,196).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Gomez
Home
54.0% (2,527)
49.8% (1,767)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
46.3% (1,667)
By Period
MacKenzie
Gomez
P1
51.9%
48.6%
P2
53.0%
48.2%
P3
54.0%
47.5%
OT
65.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2016 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 07:08 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 10, 2016 | 2 | 04:08 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 21, 2013 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 09:05 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 2 | 02:09 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |
| Feb 11, 2013 | 1 | 13:20 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 2, 2010 | 1 | 09:51 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |