Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Gomez 47.0% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 57.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 92.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 77.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 80.0%
80.0%
20.0%
MacKenzie
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
MacKenzie
Gomez
Last 7: MacKenzie 5-2 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Gomez
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Gomez
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gomez
0
1
MacKenzie
Gomez
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
46.4% (676)
+8.7%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
48.6% (105)
-11.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
28.6% (7)
+20.3%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +20.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Gomez is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Gomez
Home
54.9% (506)
46.5% (417)
Away
51.4% (516)
46.6% (371)
By Period
MacKenzie
Gomez
P1
54.5%
46.7%
P2
55.6%
45.1%
P3
48.2%
48.1%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:35 | Neutral | Scott Gomez |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 09:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 12:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:37 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 31, 2015 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | Scott Gomez |