Scouting Report
Sean Malone holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Malone on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Malone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Malone 50.9% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malone 67.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 74.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 56.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
MacKenzie
Malone
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
MacKenzie
Malone
Last 7: MacKenzie 3-4 Malone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Malone
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Malone
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malone
1
2
MacKenzie
Malone
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Malone
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
56.3% (16)
-1.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malone shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Malone is 46.2% vs left-shot opponents (13).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Malone
Home
54.0% (2,527)
50.0% (8)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
62.5% (8)
By Period
MacKenzie
Malone
P1
51.9%
33.3%
P2
53.0%
42.9%
P3
54.0%
83.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Malone
56.3%▬
56.3%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |