Scouting Report
Sean Malone holds a +12.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Malone on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Malone shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Malone 50.9% (-12.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malone 66.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 81.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 55.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
MacKenzie
Malone
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
MacKenzie
Malone
Last 7: MacKenzie 3-4 Malone
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Malone
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Malone
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Malone
1
2
MacKenzie
Malone
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Malone
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
62.5% (8)
-10.0%
On even strength, Malone has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Malone shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Malone is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (7).
By Period
MacKenzie
Malone
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
50.0%
33.3%
P3
49.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Malone
56.3%▬
56.3%
62.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 17:03 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:59 | Defensive | Sean Malone |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 10:06 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |