Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Monahan 49.3% (+3.8%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 50.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 86.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 69.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
MacKenzie
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
MacKenzie
Monahan
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
2
MacKenzie
Monahan
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
49.0% (1,435)
+6.1%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
50.2% (281)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
50.9% (114)
-2.0%
On power play, Monahan has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Monahan
Home
54.9% (506)
51.2% (936)
Away
51.4% (516)
47.3% (894)
By Period
MacKenzie
Monahan
P1
54.5%
48.8%
P2
55.6%
48.9%
P3
48.2%
50.2%
OT
70.0%
48.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2015 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 2 | 08:13 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 9, 2015 | 1 | 15:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 06:40 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 16:52 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |