Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Monahan 50.4% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 81.2%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 69.8%
Neutral zone
Monahan 55.6%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
MacKenzie
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKenzie
Monahan
Last 7: MacKenzie 2-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
4
MacKenzie
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
51.0% (1,063)
+4.7%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
49.4% (314)
+30.6%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
40.0% (30)
+1.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
MacKenzie shoots left. Monahan is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (899).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Monahan
Home
51.3% (312)
53.8% (705)
Away
52.9% (293)
47.0% (702)
By Period
MacKenzie
Monahan
P1
50.5%
47.3%
P2
48.8%
53.9%
P3
57.4%
49.6%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2018 | 3 | 15:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 2 | 11:40 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 15:34 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 17, 2018 | 1 | 13:21 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 12, 2018 | 1 | 00:41 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |