Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 9 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 52.9% vs Crosby 49.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 14-4 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 88.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.8%
Neutral zone
Crosby 65.1%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
MacKenzie
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
14
(18 meetings)
4
14
MacKenzie
Crosby
Last 10: MacKenzie 3-7 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
9
MacKenzie
Crosby
9 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
MacKenzie
Crosby
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Crosby
1
2
MacKenzie
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (737)
49.4% (1,194)
+5.7%
Power Play
36.8% (19)
52.6% (350)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
48.9% (266)
43.4% (53)
+5.5%
On power play, Crosby has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (662).
MacKenzie shoots left. Crosby is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Crosby
Home
54.9% (506)
51.3% (776)
Away
51.4% (516)
48.6% (821)
By Period
MacKenzie
Crosby
P1
54.5%
50.5%
P2
55.6%
51.3%
P3
48.2%
47.8%
OT
70.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
53.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2015 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 07:41 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:50 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 17:41 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 22, 2015 | 1 | 12:19 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 12:51 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 10:05 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 01:40 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 18:42 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 12:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 08:05 | Defensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 1 | 04:59 | Neutral | Sidney Crosby |