Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.1% vs 53.0%). Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs Crosby 52.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 87.2%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 69.7%
Neutral zone
Crosby 62.2%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
MacKenzie
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Crosby
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Crosby
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Crosby
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
52.5% (1,479)
+3.2%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.7% (397)
+24.3%
Penalty Kill
41.4% (162)
47.5% (59)
-6.1%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. MacKenzie is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (340).
MacKenzie shoots left. Crosby is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,199).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Crosby
Home
51.3% (312)
54.9% (993)
Away
52.9% (293)
51.1% (942)
By Period
MacKenzie
Crosby
P1
50.5%
52.2%
P2
48.8%
53.2%
P3
57.4%
53.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
53.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 14:07 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 2 | 10:08 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 20, 2017 | 1 | 18:32 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 16:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 14, 2017 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |