Derek MacKenzie vs Steven Stamkos
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Stamkos 51.0% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 20-13 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 66.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 84.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 60.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
13
(33 meetings)
20
13
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
4
10
MacKenzie
Stamkos
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
10
1
MacKenzie
Stamkos
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
6
2
MacKenzie
Stamkos
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
50.4% (9,799)
+4.5%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
55.1% (1,725)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
49.7% (825)
-3.0%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Stamkos is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,778).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Home
54.0% (2,527)
52.7% (6,248)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
49.3% (6,127)
By Period
MacKenzie
Stamkos
P1
51.9%
49.1%
P2
53.0%
52.7%
P3
54.0%
50.9%
OT
65.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2018 | 1 | 09:01 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 06:28 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 7, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:47 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 23, 2016 | 1 | 16:25 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 19:39 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 17, 2016 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:22 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 16, 2015 | 2 | 08:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2015 | 2 | 04:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 05:49 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2015 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |