Derek MacKenzie vs Steven Stamkos
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stamkos on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Stamkos shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Stamkos 52.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 61.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 78.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 59.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Last 6: MacKenzie 2-4 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
1
2
MacKenzie
Stamkos
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
2
MacKenzie
Stamkos
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
54.7% (179)
-2.2%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (4)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
40.0% (15)
+1.7%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (305).
MacKenzie shoots left. Stamkos is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (128).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Stamkos
Home
52.7% (404)
57.4% (108)
Away
47.0% (368)
48.9% (90)
By Period
MacKenzie
Stamkos
P1
50.0%
53.4%
P2
50.0%
51.7%
P3
49.4%
55.6%
OT
80.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
41.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
53.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 2 | 05:56 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 7, 2016 | 1 | 12:58 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 3 | 02:29 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |