Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Oshie on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Oshie 46.4% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Oshie leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Oshie 91.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 85.7%
Neutral zone
Oshie 55.5%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
MacKenzie
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
MacKenzie
Oshie
Last 10: MacKenzie 3-7 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
2
5
MacKenzie
Oshie
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Oshie
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Oshie
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
45.2% (764)
+9.7%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
47.7% (1,221)
+8.2%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
40.2% (164)
+6.5%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +9.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. Oshie is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,672).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Oshie
Home
54.0% (2,527)
48.7% (1,103)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
43.7% (1,047)
By Period
MacKenzie
Oshie
P1
51.9%
47.3%
P2
53.0%
45.2%
P3
54.0%
46.7%
OT
65.7%
40.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2017 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 05:46 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 04:25 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 15, 2015 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2011 | 2 | 07:20 | Defensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Mar 9, 2011 | 1 | 09:28 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 2 | 09:55 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 7, 2011 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |