Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. MacKenzie wins 53.1% vs right-shot opponents — Oshie shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Oshie 51.9% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Oshie 86.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 69.1%
Neutral zone
Oshie 60.9%
Result
T.J. Oshie favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
MacKenzie
Oshie
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
MacKenzie
Oshie
Last 5: MacKenzie 2-3 Oshie
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
2
MacKenzie
Oshie
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Oshie
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Oshie
0
1
MacKenzie
Oshie
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Oshie
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
51.4% (35)
+4.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
53.5% (170)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
50.9% (57)
+2.0%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Oshie shoots right. MacKenzie is 53.1% vs right-shot opponents (307).
MacKenzie shoots left. Oshie is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Oshie
Home
54.4% (463)
59.4% (138)
Away
55.3% (338)
45.2% (124)
By Period
MacKenzie
Oshie
P1
54.2%
53.4%
P2
54.0%
48.9%
P3
56.7%
55.1%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Oshie
32.0%▼
43.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 12:50 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 07:17 | Offensive | T.J. Oshie |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 2 | 12:46 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 10, 2015 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 31, 2015 | 2 | 01:29 | Neutral | T.J. Oshie |