Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Wandell 44.0% (+9.8%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 70.0%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 95.1%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 91.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 93.0%
93.0%
7.0%
MacKenzie
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
MacKenzie
Wandell
Last 10: MacKenzie 7-3 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wandell
1
3
MacKenzie
Wandell
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
6
0
MacKenzie
Wandell
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
42.9% (791)
+12.0%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
51.3% (39)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
42.1% (38)
+4.6%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Wandell is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (615).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Wandell
Home
54.0% (2,527)
41.2% (413)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
45.3% (457)
By Period
MacKenzie
Wandell
P1
51.9%
45.1%
P2
53.0%
41.2%
P3
54.0%
44.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 05:23 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 3 | 19:58 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |