Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Wandell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Wandell 45.5% (+18.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 67.9%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 93.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 90.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 91.9%
91.9%
8.1%
MacKenzie
Wandell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Wandell
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Wandell
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Wandell
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Wandell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Wandell
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
39.4% (104)
+21.6%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
75.0% (4)
+25.0%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
66.7% (3)
-17.6%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wandell shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Wandell is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (86).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Wandell
Home
62.1% (145)
37.1% (62)
Away
57.3% (178)
46.9% (49)
By Period
MacKenzie
Wandell
P1
51.6%
35.9%
P2
59.8%
46.3%
P3
65.8%
41.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Wandell
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:08 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 25, 2013 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Tom Wandell |