Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 44.7% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.3% vs Zajac 54.3% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 68.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 87.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 73.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 78.6%
78.6%
21.4%
MacKenzie
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
MacKenzie
Zajac
Last 8: MacKenzie 1-7 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
3
MacKenzie
Zajac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
1
3
MacKenzie
Zajac
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zajac
0
1
MacKenzie
Zajac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (377)
55.7% (1,020)
-0.8%
Power Play
63.6% (11)
52.7% (201)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
38.5% (109)
50.3% (173)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Zajac has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. MacKenzie is 44.7% vs right-shot opponents (215).
MacKenzie shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Zajac
Home
51.9% (237)
54.9% (685)
Away
51.2% (260)
54.3% (709)
By Period
MacKenzie
Zajac
P1
49.7%
54.6%
P2
50.6%
55.5%
P3
53.5%
54.2%
OT
100.0%
48.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
51.5%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2014 | 2 | 13:49 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 16:50 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 27, 2013 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 2 | 16:06 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 18:38 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Dec 10, 2013 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Oct 22, 2013 | 3 | 10:24 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |